Florida primary results 2026: Nixon upset, Donalds wins governor nod

Key takeaways

  • Florida held statewide primaries on August 18, 2026. The headline Democratic upset: state Rep. Angie Nixon defeated former NSC official Alex Vindman for the party’s U.S. Senate nomination — AP and major outlets projected Nixon ahead by roughly 56% to 44% with most votes counted, despite Vindman outraising her by more than 16-to-1 per campaign finance summaries cited in press coverage.
  • Governor: Rep. Byron Donalds won the Republican primary with former President Trump’s endorsement (about 48% in unofficial totals per Palm Beach Post / BBC summaries). Democrat David Jolly — a former Republican congressman who later left the party — won his primary. They meet in November; Donalds would be Florida’s first Black governor if elected.
  • November Senate: Nixon faces appointed Republican Sen. Ashley Moody, who is running to serve the remainder of Marco Rubio’s term after Rubio became U.S. secretary of state. Turnout was about 24% of registered voters — in line with recent Florida August primaries.

Florida primary results landed Aug. 19 because the votes were counted overnight from the Aug. 18 ballot — not because the general election moved. Two November matchups are now set at the top of the ticket: a progressive Jacksonville lawmaker against a DeSantis appointee for Senate, and a Trump-backed congressman against a former Republican turned Democrat for governor. Everything below is primary night math; November is a different electorate.

Why these Florida primary results matter

Florida has not sent a Democrat to statewide office in a decade of Republican dominance in presidential and midterm cycles. Yet the Aug. 18 night still shifted national storylines: money versus organizing on the Democratic Senate side, and Trump’s stamp on a open-seat governor race in his adopted home state. The BBC, Al Jazeera, and Florida outlets framed it as part of a broader 2026 primary season where left-wing challengers have beaten better-funded centrists in several states — Nixon fits that pattern in the coverage even if November remains uphill.

Official certified results lag projections. For raw numbers, use the Florida Division of Elections results page once counties finish canvassing.

Senate: Nixon over Vindman

Democrats chose a nominee for the seat Marco Rubio vacated when he joined the Trump cabinet:

  • Angie Nixon — state representative from Jacksonville, described in coverage as a progressive / democratic socialist aligned with national left-wing figures including Rep. Ilhan Omar’s endorsement network per Al Jazeera.
  • Alex Vindman — retired Army lieutenant colonel, former National Security Council staff, impeachment-era witness against Trump in 2019. DSCC-recruited candidate with roughly $16 million raised versus Nixon’s sub-$1 million through late July per Palm Beach Post and News4Jax summaries.

Vindman conceded in Oakland Park on election night. Nixon’s speech theme — organized people beating big money — is the quote networks carried. The policy gap between the two was less about Ukraine testimony than about primary ideology: grassroots progressive versus national-security resume and donor class.

Governor: Donalds vs Jolly in November

Term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis leaves an open Republican field. Unofficial results summarized by BBC and Palm Beach Post:

  • Byron Donalds (R) — U.S. representative, Trump endorsement early, roughly 48% against a multi-candidate GOP field; Lt. Gov. Jay Collins finished second near 25%.
  • David Jolly (D) — former Republican House member, later independent, joined Democrats; won his party’s nomination to face Donalds.

Both candidates make Trump a central general-election argument — Donalds as ally, Jolly as former Republican critic. A Hart Research poll Jolly’s campaign circulated before the primary showed a statistical dead heat in a hypothetical Donalds–Jolly match (one-point lead inside the margin of error per Palm Beach Post). Treat that as campaign data, not a forecast.

What the Senate seat is actually for

This is not a full six-year term from zero. Rubio resigned to become secretary of state; DeSantis appointed Ashley Moody, former state attorney general, to the seat. November 2026 decides who serves the remainder of Rubio’s term — News4Jax and other local outlets stress that framing. Moody runs as incumbent-by-appointment with statewide name ID; Nixon runs as insurgent nominee with a smaller war chest unless national money arrives post-primary.

Turnout and the new House map

About 24% of Florida voters participated — roughly 2 million early and mail ballots before Aug. 18, with Republicans slightly outpacing Democrats in early returns because they had more contested down-ballot races, per Palm Beach Post. Compare to 26% in 2022 and 27% in 2018 August primaries: typical midsummer sleepiness, not a surge.

The same election cycle introduced a new congressional map analysts say favors Republicans and could shrink Democratic House seats toward a handful of 28 districts. House primaries produced their own stories — Rep. Cory Mills lost a GOP primary to television anchor Ryan Nehls amid ethics headlines in several write-ups. That is separate from the governor and Senate top lines but explains why Republican early votes piled up.

Trump endorsements — wins and losses

Donalds’ win reinforces Trump’s pull in Florida GOP primaries. Palm Beach Post noted most Trump-backed candidates won statewide but he took losses in at least two congressional primaries — useful context if you are tracking endorsement batting averages versus actual vote totals. Endorsements move base voters in low-turnout August; they do not rewrite November math by themselves.

Alaska and Wyoming the same night

Florida dominated search volume, but Aug. 18 also held primaries in Alaska and Wyoming per BBC and YourNews summaries — ranked-choice and deeply red dynamics that do not mirror Florida’s suburban coalition fights. If you only care about Florida primary results, stop at the state line; if you care about House control nationally, Alaska’s top-four system still matters for one Senate and one at-large House thread.

Educational only. Not voting advice. Results are based on Aug. 18–19 projections and unofficial totals; certified counts may shift. Campaign finance and poll numbers come from cited news coverage, not official FEC filings in this article.

Leave a Comment